Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2002 - 2003 - 2004



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Alan Hiner 12 Fremont 15:50 #3  
2  Luke Stoffel 12 Wawasee 16:00 #9  
3  Ken Collins 11 Northridge 16:05 #15  
4  Braxton Fritz 11 Northridge 16:24 #39  
5  Joel Liechty 11 East Noble 16:25 #41  
6  Randy Placencia 10 Garrett 16:31 #56  
7  Corey Koch 11 Lakeland 16:35 #68  
8  Elias Rojas 12 West Noble 16:35 #71  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Northridge Elkhart Central 355 #12  
2  West Noble West Noble 418 #23  
3  Elkhart Memorial Elkhart Central 488 #35  

Other unranked teams:
East Noble West Noble 576



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Northridge 100.0% 1.3 39 17 68 70.0 26.6 3.3 0.1
West Noble 100.0% 2.0 48 21 88 26.1 52.3 20.2 1.4
Elkhart Memorial 100.0% 2.9 62 30 98 3.9 20.3 58.0 17.8
East Noble 100.0% 3.8 76 47 104 0.0 0.7 18.6 80.7


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Alan Hiner Fremont 15:50 100.0% 1.0 65.3 24.1 8.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Luke Stoffel Wawasee 16:00 100.0% 1.6 22.6 42.8 24.2 7.5 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Ken Collins Northridge 16:05 100.0% 2.2 11.5 28.5 44.2 11.2 3.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Braxton Fritz Northridge 16:24 100.0% 4.6 0.1 0.9 6.1 29.9 23.7 16.3 10.7 6.3 3.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Joel Liechty East Noble 16:25 100.0% 4.6 0.3 2.4 9.7 22.6 24.5 17.1 10.7 6.1 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Randy Placencia Garrett 16:31 100.0% 5.9 0.1 0.8 3.5 11.4 17.5 18.9 17.3 12.0 7.7 4.3 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Corey Koch Lakeland 16:35 100.0% 6.5 0.0 0.3 2.0 7.5 13.1 17.4 18.3 15.0 9.6 6.1 4.2 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Elias Rojas West Noble 16:35 100.0% 6.7 0.1 0.3 1.5 6.9 11.3 17.0 18.9 17.1 11.3 6.9 3.9 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0